Almost half of the US reports an increased number of new Covid-19 cases as health experts warn of a possible rise in the coronavirus in the fall and winter.

According to a CNN analysis of data from Johns Hopkins University, the number of new coronavirus cases in 21 states, most of them in the west, has increased by at least 10% or more since Sunday.

Cases are rising in Alabama, Alaska, Colorado, Idaho, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oregon, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, Washington state, and Wisconsin Wyoming.

Eighteen states held steady. Only 11 – Arizona, Louisiana, Tennessee, Georgia, Florida, Virginia, Maryland, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Vermont, and New Hampshire – saw new cases decrease by more than 10% compared to the previous week.

There could be an explosion of Covid-19 cases in the US in the fall and winter According to Dr. Chris Murray, director of the Institute of Health Metrics and Assessment at the University of Washington (IHME), people are less cautious and spend more time indoors, where transmission is more likely.

According to Murray, the IHME model is on “a huge surge” that is expected to “accelerate” in October and November and December. The IHME model shows the country currently has about 765 daily deaths from Covid-19, but that number could climb to 3,000 daily deaths by the end of December.

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